(2)方法一:第一次取到一件不合格品,还剩下99件产品,其中有4件不合格品,95件合格品,于是第二次又取到不合格品的概率为4/99,由于这是一个条件概率,所以P(B|A)=4/99.方法二:根据条件概率的定义,先求出事件A,B同时发生的概率P(AB)=(C_5^2)/(C_100^2 )=1/495,所以P(B|A)=(P"(" AB")" )/(P"(" A")" )=(1/495)/(5/100)=4/99.6.在某次考试中,要从20道题中随机地抽出6道题,若考生至少答对其中的4道题即可通过;若至少答对其中5道题就获得优秀.已知某考生能答对其中10道题,并且知道他在这次考试中已经通过,求他获得优秀成绩的概率.解:设事件A为“该考生6道题全答对”,事件B为“该考生答对了其中5道题而另一道答错”,事件C为“该考生答对了其中4道题而另2道题答错”,事件D为“该考生在这次考试中通过”,事件E为“该考生在这次考试中获得优秀”,则A,B,C两两互斥,且D=A∪B∪C,E=A∪B,由古典概型的概率公式及加法公式可知P(D)=P(A∪B∪C)=P(A)+P(B)+P(C)=(C_10^6)/(C_20^6 )+(C_10^5 C_10^1)/(C_20^6 )+(C_10^4 C_10^2)/(C_20^6 )=(12" " 180)/(C_20^6 ),P(E|D)=P(A∪B|D)=P(A|D)+P(B|D)=(P"(" A")" )/(P"(" D")" )+(P"(" B")" )/(P"(" D")" )=(210/(C_20^6 ))/((12" " 180)/(C_20^6 ))+((2" " 520)/(C_20^6 ))/((12" " 180)/(C_20^6 ))=13/58,即所求概率为13/58.
3.某县农民月均收入服从N(500,202)的正态分布,则此县农民月均收入在500元到520元间人数的百分比约为 . 解析:因为月收入服从正态分布N(500,202),所以μ=500,σ=20,μ-σ=480,μ+σ=520.所以月均收入在[480,520]范围内的概率为0.683.由图像的对称性可知,此县农民月均收入在500到520元间人数的百分比约为34.15%.答案:34.15%4.某种零件的尺寸ξ(单位:cm)服从正态分布N(3,12),则不属于区间[1,5]这个尺寸范围的零件数约占总数的 . 解析:零件尺寸属于区间[μ-2σ,μ+2σ],即零件尺寸在[1,5]内取值的概率约为95.4%,故零件尺寸不属于区间[1,5]内的概率为1-95.4%=4.6%.答案:4.6%5. 设在一次数学考试中,某班学生的分数X~N(110,202),且知试卷满分150分,这个班的学生共54人,求这个班在这次数学考试中及格(即90分及90分以上)的人数和130分以上的人数.解:μ=110,σ=20,P(X≥90)=P(X-110≥-20)=P(X-μ≥-σ),∵P(X-μσ)≈2P(X-μ130)=P(X-110>20)=P(X-μ>σ),∴P(X-μσ)≈0.683+2P(X-μ>σ)=1,∴P(X-μ>σ)=0.158 5,即P(X>130)=0.158 5.∴54×0.158 5≈9(人),即130分以上的人数约为9人.
解析:因为减法和除法运算中交换两个数的位置对计算结果有影响,所以属于组合的有2个.答案:B2.若A_n^2=3C_(n"-" 1)^2,则n的值为( )A.4 B.5 C.6 D.7 解析:因为A_n^2=3C_(n"-" 1)^2,所以n(n-1)=(3"(" n"-" 1")(" n"-" 2")" )/2,解得n=6.故选C.答案:C 3.若集合A={a1,a2,a3,a4,a5},则集合A的子集中含有4个元素的子集共有 个. 解析:满足要求的子集中含有4个元素,由集合中元素的无序性,知其子集个数为C_5^4=5.答案:54.平面内有12个点,其中有4个点共线,此外再无任何3点共线,以这些点为顶点,可得多少个不同的三角形?解:(方法一)我们把从共线的4个点中取点的多少作为分类的标准:第1类,共线的4个点中有2个点作为三角形的顶点,共有C_4^2·C_8^1=48(个)不同的三角形;第2类,共线的4个点中有1个点作为三角形的顶点,共有C_4^1·C_8^2=112(个)不同的三角形;第3类,共线的4个点中没有点作为三角形的顶点,共有C_8^3=56(个)不同的三角形.由分类加法计数原理,不同的三角形共有48+112+56=216(个).(方法二 间接法)C_12^3-C_4^3=220-4=216(个).
一、三峡工程的生态环境效应三峡工程的生态环境效应是指建设三峡工程对生态与环境的有利和不利影响。1、有利影响(1)防洪:(2)防治血吸虫病:(3)减轻洞庭湖淤积(4)增加枯水期流量,改善水(5)调节局部气候:(6)减轻环境污染:综上所述,三峡工程对生态环境的有利影响主要在中下游。2、不利影响及措施(1)淹没土地、耕地:水库蓄水将淹没土地、耕地。(2)加剧水土流失和环境污染:在移民开发和城市迁建过程中,处理不当可能产生新的水土流失和环境污染等问题。(3)诱发地质灾害(地震、滑坡):水库蓄水改变了原有地应力的平衡,可能诱发地震,并使库岸发生滑坡等地质灾害的可能性增大。(4)加重泥沙淤积:水库蓄水,使库区水流速度变慢,库区和库尾的泥沙淤积加重。
由样本相关系数??≈0.97,可以推断脂肪含量和年龄这两个变量正线性相关,且相关程度很强。脂肪含量与年龄变化趋势相同.归纳总结1.线性相关系数是从数值上来判断变量间的线性相关程度,是定量的方法.与散点图相比较,线性相关系数要精细得多,需要注意的是线性相关系数r的绝对值小,只是说明线性相关程度低,但不一定不相关,可能是非线性相关.2.利用相关系数r来检验线性相关显著性水平时,通常与0.75作比较,若|r|>0.75,则线性相关较为显著,否则不显著.例2. 有人收集了某城市居民年收入(所有居民在一年内收入的总和)与A商品销售额的10年数据,如表所示.画出散点图,判断成对样本数据是否线性相关,并通过样本相关系数推断居民年收入与A商品销售额的相关程度和变化趋势的异同.
3.下结论.依据均值和方差做出结论.跟踪训练2. A、B两个投资项目的利润率分别为随机变量X1和X2,根据市场分析, X1和X2的分布列分别为X1 2% 8% 12% X2 5% 10%P 0.2 0.5 0.3 P 0.8 0.2求:(1)在A、B两个项目上各投资100万元, Y1和Y2分别表示投资项目A和B所获得的利润,求方差D(Y1)和D(Y2);(2)根据得到的结论,对于投资者有什么建议? 解:(1)题目可知,投资项目A和B所获得的利润Y1和Y2的分布列为:Y1 2 8 12 Y2 5 10P 0.2 0.5 0.3 P 0.8 0.2所以 ;; 解:(2) 由(1)可知 ,说明投资A项目比投资B项目期望收益要高;同时 ,说明投资A项目比投资B项目的实际收益相对于期望收益的平均波动要更大.因此,对于追求稳定的投资者,投资B项目更合适;而对于更看重利润并且愿意为了高利润承担风险的投资者,投资A项目更合适.
对于离散型随机变量,可以由它的概率分布列确定与该随机变量相关事件的概率。但在实际问题中,有时我们更感兴趣的是随机变量的某些数字特征。例如,要了解某班同学在一次数学测验中的总体水平,很重要的是看平均分;要了解某班同学数学成绩是否“两极分化”则需要考察这个班数学成绩的方差。我们还常常希望直接通过数字来反映随机变量的某个方面的特征,最常用的有期望与方差.二、 探究新知探究1.甲乙两名射箭运动员射中目标靶的环数的分布列如下表所示:如何比较他们射箭水平的高低呢?环数X 7 8 9 10甲射中的概率 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4乙射中的概率 0.15 0.25 0.4 0.2类似两组数据的比较,首先比较击中的平均环数,如果平均环数相等,再看稳定性.假设甲射箭n次,射中7环、8环、9环和10环的频率分别为:甲n次射箭射中的平均环数当n足够大时,频率稳定于概率,所以x稳定于7×0.1+8×0.2+9×0.3+10×0.4=9.即甲射中平均环数的稳定值(理论平均值)为9,这个平均值的大小可以反映甲运动员的射箭水平.同理,乙射中环数的平均值为7×0.15+8×0.25+9×0.4+10×0.2=8.65.
我荣幸地以中华民族一员的资格,而成为世界公民。我是中国人民的儿子。我深情地爱着我的祖国和人民。 ——邓小平一个人只要热爱自己的祖国,有一颗爱国之心,就什么事情都能解决。什么苦楚,什么冤屈都受得了。 ——冰心做人最大的事情是什么呢?就是要知道怎么样爱国。 ——孙中山能够献身于自己祖国的事业,为实现理想而斗争,这是最光荣不过的事情了。——吴玉章外国爱国名言示例:我们为祖国服务,也不能都采用同一方式,每个人应该按照资禀,各尽所能。——歌德纵使世界给我珍宝和荣誉,我也不愿离开我的祖国。因为纵使我的祖国在耻辱之中,我还是喜欢、热爱、祝福我的祖国。 ——裴多菲我重视祖国的利益,甚于自己的生命和我所珍爱的儿女。 ——莎士比亚我无论做什么,始终在想着,只要我的精力允许我的话,我就要首先为我的祖国服务。 ——巴甫洛夫
【词汇精讲】highlight n.最好或最精彩的部分 vt.突出;强调;使醒目One of the highlights of the trip was seeing the Taj Mahal.这次旅行的亮点之一是参观泰姬陵。Your resume should highlight your skills and achievements.你的简历应该突出你的技能和成就。The report highlights the major problems facing society today.报告强调了当今社会所面临的主要问题。I’ve highlighted the important passages in yellow.我用黄色标出了重要段落。7.Edmonton is freezing cold in winter,with daily temperatures averaging -10 ℃.埃德蒙顿冬季寒冷,日平均气温为-10°C。【词汇精讲】freezing adj.极冷的;冰冻的Leave a basin of water outside in freezing weather.在冰冻的天气里,放一盆水在室外。It’s freezing cold outside so wear a warm coat.外面超冷的,所以穿一个暖和一点的外套吧。8.It was not until 9:30 a.m.that they finally reached the capital of Ontario,Toronto.直到上午9时30分,他们才终于到达多伦多的首府安大略省。【句式剖析】本句是一个强调句,强调的是句子的时间状语until 9:30。含有not...until...的句子的强调句为It is not until...that...,that后面的句子要用肯定形式。It was not until then that I suddenly realized nobody was happier than I was.直到那时我才突然意识到没有人比我更幸福了。
The activity theme of this section is to design various activities around the key words in the first text. Therefore, the activities require students to pay attention to the spelling of words. On the other hand, let students grasp the meaning of words more accurately through sentences and short texts. This kind of teaching design also helps to improve the ability of using English thinking.1. Cultivating students' ability to use word formation to induce and memorize vocabulary, and the ability to use lexical chunks to express meaning.2. Guide the students to think independently and use the correct form of words to complete sentences3. Cultivate students' habit of using lexical chunks to express language completely, guide students to draw words in sentences quickly, pay attention to word collocation, so as to accumulate more authentic expressions4. Instruct students to create sentences with the chunks.1. Enable students to use the language points in the real situation or specific contexts flexibly and appropriately.2. Guiding the Ss to use unit topic words and the sentence patterns in a richer context.Step1: Think of a word that best fits each definition.1. to remember sth2.to accept, admit, or recognize sth or the truth/existence of sth3. the process of changing sth or yourself to suit a new situation4 .to make sb feel less worried or unhappy5. a strong desire to achieve sth
你校英语报计划出版一期急救常识专刊,现面向全校学生公开征集稿件,你有意参加。请你根据下面提示内容,用英语写一篇短文,介绍在车祸现场对伤者进行急救的方法和步骤。1.确保现场的安全;2.询问伤者,确保其呼吸正常;3.检查伤口,如流血则应采取止血措施;4.如需急救,确保其处于康复位置。注意:1.词数80左右;2.可以适当增加细节,以使行文连贯。参考词汇:康复位置 recovery positionAs we all know, having a knowledge of first aid can make a great difference in our daily life. If a traffic accident happens and someone is injured, the following steps can be used to treat the injured.In the first place, we should make sure that the accident scene is safe so that we won’t get hurt. We should ask the injured person if he is OK, and see if he is breathing. What’s more, we should check for cuts and wounds. If he is bleeding badly, it is vital that we should try to stop the bleeding by applying pressure to the injury. This is because if a person loses too much blood, he may die. If necessary, take the injured person to the hospital as soon as possible.Do remember: when giving first aid, please be sure to place the person in a recovery position.
Her tutor told her to acknowledge __________ other people had said if she cited their ideas, and advised her _______(read) lots of information in order to form __________wise opinion of her own.Now halfway __________ her exchange year, Xie Lei felt much more at home in the UK. She said __________ (engage) in British culture had helped and that she had been__________ (involve) in social activities. She also said while learning about business, she was acting as a cultural messenger __________(build) a bridge between the two countries. keys:Xie Lei, a 19yearold Chinese student, said goodbye to her family and friends in China and boarded (board) a plane for London six months ago in order to get a business qualification. She was ambitious(ambition) to set up a business after graduation. It was the first time that she had left (leave) home.At first, Xie Lei had to adapt to life in a different country. She chose to live with a host family, who can help with her adaptation (adapt) to the new culture. When she missed home, she felt comforted (comfort) to have a second family. Also Xie Lei had to satisfy academic requirements. Her tutor told her to acknowledge what other people had said if she cited their ideas, and advised her to read lots of information in order to form a wise opinion of her own.Now halfway through her exchange year, Xie Lei felt much more at home in the UK. She said engaging (engage) in British culture had helped and that she had been involved (involve) in social activities. She also said while learning about business, she was acting as a cultural messenger building a bridge between the two countries.
The theme of this section is to express people's views on studying abroad. With the continuous development of Chinese economic construction, especially the general improvement of people's living standards, the number of Chinese students studying abroad at their own expense is on the rise. Many students and parents turn their attention to the world and regard studying abroad as an effective way to improve their quality, broaden their horizons and master the world's advanced scientific knowledge, which is very important for the fever of going abroad. Studying abroad is also an important decision made by a family for their children. Therefore, it is of great social significance to discuss this issue. The theme of this section is the column discussion in the newspaper: the advantages and disadvantages of studying abroad. The discourse is about two parents' contribution letters on this issue. They respectively express their own positions. One thinks that the disadvantages outweigh the advantages, and the other thinks that the advantages outweigh the disadvantages. The two parents' arguments are well founded and logical. It is worth noting that the two authors do not express their views on studying abroad from an individual point of view, but from a national or even global point of view. These two articles have the characteristics of both letters and argumentative essays1.Guide the students to read these two articles, and understand the author's point of view and argument ideas2.Help the students to summarize the structure and writing methods of argumentative writing, and guides students to correctly understand the advantages and disadvantages of studying abroad3.Cultivate students' ability to analyze problems objectively, comprehensively and deeply
? B: Absolutely! Getting involved with Chinese cultural activities there definitely helped a lot. I got to practice my Chinese on a daily basis, and I could learn how native Chinese speakers spoke.? A: What do you feel is your biggest achievement?? B: Learning Chinese characters! I have learnt about 1,500 so far. When I first started, I didn't think it was even going to be possible to learn so many, but now I find that I can read signs, menus, and even some easy newspaper articles.? A: What are you most keen on?? B: I've really become keen on learning more about the Chinese culture, in particular Chinese calligraphy. As I have learnt Chinese characters, I have developed a great appreciation for their meaning. I want to explore Chinese characters by learning how to write them in a more beautiful way. ? A: Finally, what do you want to say to anyone interested in learning Chinese?? I have really become keen on learning more about the Chinese culture, in particular Chinese Calligraphy. As I have learnt Chinese character, I have developed a great appreciation for their meaning. I want to explore Chinese characters by learning how to write them in a more beautiful way.? A: Finally, what do you want to say to anyone interested in learning Chinese?? B: I'd say, give it a shot! While some aspects may be difficult, it is quite rewarding and you will be happy that you tried.? A: Thanks for your time. ? B:You're welcome.
This section guides students to pay attention to the typical context of vocabulary use, helps students accumulate vocabulary around the key vocabulary of this unit, and uses the learned words and word chunks in different contexts to deeply understand their meaning and usage, so as to achieve the purpose of review and consolidation.The teaching design activities aim to guide students to pay attention to the typical context in which the target vocabulary is used, as well as the common vocabulary used in collocation, so that students can complete the sentence with correct words. In terms of vocabulary learning strategies, this unit focuses on cultivating students' ability to pay attention to collocation of words and to use word blocks to express meaning.For vocabulary learning, it is not enough just to know the meaning of a single word, but the most important thing is to master the common collocations of words, namely word blocks.Teachers should timely guide students to summarize common vocabulary collocation, such as verb and noun collocation, verb and preposition collocation, preposition and noun collocation, and so on.1. Guide students to understand and consolidate the meaning and usage of the vocabulary in the context, 2. Guide the students to use the unit topic vocabulary in a richer context3. Let the students sort out and accumulate the accumulated vocabulary, establishes the semantic connection between the vocabulary,4. Enable students to understand and master the vocabulary more effectivelyGuiding the Ss to use unit topic words and the sentence patterns in a richer context.
假定你是英国的Jack,打算来中国旅行,请你给你的中国笔友李华写一封信,要点如下:1.你的旅行计划:北京→泰山→杭州;2.征求建议并询问他是否愿意充当你的导游。注意:1.词数80左右(开头和结尾已给出,不计入总词数);2.可以适当增加细节,以使行文连贯。参考词汇:故宫 the Forbidden City;泰山 Mount TaiDear Li Hua,I'm glad to tell you that 'm going to visit China.First,I am planning to visit Beijing,the capitalof China,where I am looking forward to enjoying the Great Wall,the Forbidden City and somebeautiful parks.Then I intend to go to visit Mount Tai in Shandong Province.I've heard that it is one ofthe most famous mountains in China and I can't wait to enjoy the amazing sunrise there.After that,I amalso going to Hangzhou.It is said that it is a beautiful modern city with breathtaking natural sights,among which the West Lake is a well- known tourist attraction.What do you think of my travel plan? Will you act as my guide? Hope to hear from you soon.
The theme of the listening section is " talking about scenery and culture along a journey."The part is designed to further lead the students to understand Canadian natural geography and social environment, and integrated into the cultural contrast by mentioning the long train journey from Beijing to Moscow routes. On this basis, the part activates students related travel experience, lets the student serial dialogue, guides the student to explore further the pleasure and meaning of the long journey, and Chinese and foreign cultural comparison.The part also provides a framework for the continuation of the dialogue, which is designed to provide a framework for students to successfully complete their oral expressions, and to incorporate an important trading strategy to end the dialogue naturally.1. Help students to understand and master some common English idioms in the context, and experience the expression effect of English idioms.2. Guide the students to understand the identity of different people in the listening context, and finish the dialogue according to their own experience.3. Instruct the students to use appropriate language to express surprise and curiosity about space and place in the dialogue, and master the oral strategy of ending the dialogue naturally.1. Instruct students to grasp the key information and important details of the dialogue.2. Instruct students to conduct a similar talk on the relevant topic.
The purpose of this section of vocabulary exercises is to consolidate the key words in the first part of the reading text, let the students write the words according to the English definition, and focus on the detection of the meaning and spelling of the new words. The teaching design includes use English definition to explain words, which is conducive to improving students' interest in vocabulary learning, cultivating their sense of English language and thinking in English, and making students willing to use this method to better grasp the meaning of words, expand their vocabulary, and improve their ability of vocabulary application. Besides, the design offers more context including sentences and short passage for students to practice words flexibly.1. Guide students to understand and consolidate the meaning and usage of the vocabulary in the context, 2. Guide the students to use the unit topic vocabulary in a richer context3. Let the students sort out and accumulate the accumulated vocabulary, establishes the semantic connection between the vocabulary,4. Enable students to understand and master the vocabulary more effectivelyGuiding the Ss to use unit topic words and the sentence patterns in a richer context.Step1: Read the passage about chemical burns and fill in the blanks with the correct forms of the words in the box.
The theme of this activity is to learn the first aid knowledge of burns. Burns is common in life, but there are some misunderstandings in manual treatment. This activity provides students with correct first aid methods, so as not to take them for granted in an emergency. This section guides students to analyze the causes of scald and help students avoid such things. From the perspective of text structure and collaborative features, the text is expository. Expository, with explanation as the main way of expression, transmits knowledge and information to readers by analyzing concepts and elaborating examples. This text arranges the information in logical order, clearly presents three parts of the content through the subtitle, accurately describes the causes, types, characteristics and first aid measures of burns, and some paragraphs use topic sentences to summarize the main idea, and the level is very clear.1. Guide students to understand the causes, types, characteristics and first aid methods of burns, through reading2. Enhance students’ ability to deal withburnss and their awareness of burns prevention3. Enable students to improve the ability to judge the types of texts accurately and to master the characteristics and writing techniques of expository texts.Guide students to understand the causes, types, characteristics and first aid methods of burns, through readingStep1: Lead in by discussing the related topic:1. What first-aid techniques do you know of ?CPR; mouth to mouth artificial respiration; the Heimlich Manoeuvre
The theme of this section is to learn how to make emergency calls. Students should learn how to make emergency calls not only in China, but also in foreign countries in English, so that they can be prepared for future situations outside the home.The emergency telephone number is a vital hotline, which should be the most clear, rapid and effective communication with the acute operator.This section helps students to understand the emergency calls in some countries and the precautions for making emergency calls. Through the study of this section, students can accumulate common expressions and sentence patterns in this context. 1.Help students accumulate emergency telephone numbers in different countries and learn more about first aid2.Guide the students to understand the contents and instructions of the telephone, grasp the characteristics of the emergency telephone and the requirements of the emergency telephone.3.Guide students to understand the first aid instructions of the operators.4.Enable Ss to make simulated emergency calls with their partners in the language they have learned1. Instruct students to grasp the key information and important details of the dialogue.2. Instruct students to conduct a similar talk on the relevant topic.Step1:Look and discuss:Match the pictures below to the medical emergencies, and then discuss the questions in groups.